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Right now there are 71 bowl eligible teams for 78 bowl slots. Buffalo took care of business today and became one of those teams but it’s a near certainty we won’t get one of the MAC’s guaranteed bowls.
What we need, to be sure, is for seven or fewer teams to get bowl eligible. Here is the list of teams (16) that need a win tomorrow in order to get to 6-6.
American (2): Temple, Tulane
ACC (2): Duke, Georgia Tech
Big Ten (3): Indiana, Minnesota, Purdue
Big 12 (1): Texas Tech
C-USA (3): Louisiana Tech, Middle Tennessee, Old Dominion
Mountain West (1): UNLV
Pac-12 (4): California, Colorado, UCLA, Utah
The “Good News - Bad News” Games.
These are games where two 5-6 teams play. The good news is one of them won’t be taking a bowl slot, the bad news is one of them will.
Purdue (5-6) at Indiana (5-6)
Middle Tennessee (5-6) at ODU (5-6)
California (5-6) at UCLA (5-6)
Colorado (5-6) at Utah (5-6)
After these games the number of eligible teams goes up to 75. With 75 teams there is room for three more before getting into a bowl becomes an issues.
The “Probably Bad News” Games.
These are games where the 5-6 team looks like they should win and joing the 6-6 club
Temple (5-6) at Tulsa (2-9)
UNLV (5-6) at Nevada (2-9)
If these two both go the way they look to go the number of teams is up to 77. Which leaves one more team to fill 78 out.
The “Coin Flip” Games
Games which should be close, but too close to call.
Tulane (5-6) at SMU (6-5)
Duke (5-6) at Wake Forest (7-4)
Texas Tech (5-6) at Texas (6-5) In progress
UTSA (6-4) at Louisiana Tech (5-6)
This is a lot that has to break UB’s way. Hanging out hops on Wake Forest and SMU. At the time of this writing Texas is getting the job done against Texas Tech.
The “Help is on the way” Games
These are games where the would be bowl slot contender faces an uphill battle
Georgia Tech (5-5) at Georgia (10-1)
Wisconsin (11-0) at Minnesota (5-6)
Any given Saturday a big time upset can happen, but it’s hard to see two teams fighting for a spot in the national title show dropping these games.
So... The Big games to watch would be:
UTSA (6-4) at Louisiana Tech (5-6)
Tulane (5-6) at SMU (6-5)
Duke (5-6) at Wake Forest (7-4)