The middle of the conference has been churning over in a huge way over the past couple of weeks. But at the top and bottom there has been a lot of stability, here is what has happened.
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- Buffalo has had a rough-ish go of it. They are 4-3 in their last seven. Fortunately Toldeo also picked the past few weeks to fall off a little. As a result UB has maintained it’s one game lead over the rockets. Add to that UB’s tie breaker and they have a magic number of 1 with two games to play
- Ball State started playing to form, they are not a threat to Buffalo’s position but they are just two games back of Toledo and they also hold a tie breaker over the Rockets.
- Bowling Green has started to play much better hoops.
- The Bottom four are playing pretty on par. There is no “worst team” among them so the home campus round seeding is pretty meaningless in terms of getting to Cleveland.
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As things stand right now I would wager UB will play Bowling Green in the quarters given that the Falcons are a pretty sure thing at #8.
Then they would face winner of a WMU/EMU matchup. Either team can land the four spot and I think both are good enough to safely get out of the campus round. Those two teams present completely different challenges for Nate Oats to prep for.
On the other side I like the idea of Ball State and Toledo beating up on each other before the Semis. I believe BSU is 2-0 against Toledo and they are playing their best ball. I wish for both of them a long multiple overtime game.