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Buffalo's Road to the College Football Playoff - Week 4

Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

UB's College Football Playoff Magic Number:

106 (-16)

Based on my unscientific poll of UB's public perception, UB would need to leapfrog 106 teams to earn their way into the College Football Playoff.

UB's Group of 5 Magic Number:

41 (-15)

Based on my unscientific poll of UB's public perception, UB is 42nd of 60 teams in the group of 5. In the College Football Playoff, the highest ranked team in the group of 5 gets an auto-bid to a top 6 bowl game.


Group of 5 B1G 10

With a hat tip to Alec Trevelyan, we give you our Group of 5 B1G 10.

#1: East Carolina - American Athletic - #32

#2: Marshall - Conference USA - #38

#3: Boise State - Mountain West - #40

#4: Cincinnati - American Athletic - #46

#5: Central Florida - American Athletic - #55

#6: Northern Illinois - Mid American - #57

#7: Houston - American Athletic - #68

#8: Texas-San Antonio - Conference USA - #69

#9: Colorado State - Mountain West - #70

#10: Nevada - Mountain West - #72

#11: Bowling Green - Mid American - #73

#12 Toledo - Mid American - #73

#13 Memphis - American - #74

#14 Utah State - Mountain West - #76


Group of 5 Bottom XII

With a hat tip to Alec Trevelyan, we give you our Group of 5 bottom XII.

#51: Kent State - Mid American - #129

#52: Appalachian State - Sun Belt - #129

#53: New Mexico State - Sun Belt - #130

#54: Troy - Sun Belt - #131

#55: Florida International - Conference USA - #133

#56: Miami - Mid American - #134

#57: Massachusetts - Mid American - #137

#58: Idaho - Sun Belt - #138

#59: Georgia State - Sun Belt - #140

#60: Eastern Michigan - Mid American - #142


The Rankings

CBSsports.com - USA Today - Billingsley + MOV - Football Outsiders (F+) - Massey - Sagarin - Colley - Wolfe

UB's Schedule:

Average UB Rank: 110 (-16)

Average MAC Rank: 106 (-9)
Average Opponent Rank: 122
Average Opponent Faced: 133
Average Opponent Yet to be Played: 116


The Road to a Bowl: 4 more wins is eligible, 5 more wins for safety

Winnable games (teams ranked below or within 20 of UB):
10 (Duquesne, Army, Norfolk, Miami, EMU, CMU, Ohio, Akron, Kent, UMass)
Winnable games record: 2-1
Winnable games remaining: 7

MAC Standings:

MAC Rank Division Rank Team National Rank
#1 West #1 N. Illinois #57
T#2 East #1 BGSU #73
T#3 West #2 Toledo #73
T#4 West #3 Ball State #102
T#4 West #4 Central Mich #102
T#6 T East #2 Ohio #105
T#6 T East #2 Akron #105
#8 East #4 Buffalo #110
#9 West #5 Western Mich #111
#10 East #5 Kent #129
#11 East #6 Miami #134
#12 East #7 UMass #137
#13 West #6 Eastern Mich. #142

UB's NEW YORK Rank: Tied#2

NY Rank Team National Rank
#1 Syracuse 58
T#2 NY Bulls 110
T#2 Army 110
#4 Fordham 153
#5 Albany 176
#6 Stony Brook 194
#7 Colgate 204
#8 Wagner 222
#9 Cornell 223
#10 Columbia 239
#11 Marist 246