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Buffalo's Road to the College Football Playoff - Week 5

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James Guillory-USA TODAY Sports

UB's College Football Playoff Magic Number:

105 (+1)

Based on my unscientific poll of UB's public perception, UB would need to leapfrog 105 teams to earn their way into the College Football Playoff.

UB's Group of 5 Magic Number:

39 (+2)

Based on my unscientific poll of UB's public perception, UB is 40th of 60 teams in the group of 5. In the College Football Playoff, the highest ranked team in the group of 5 gets an auto-bid to a top 6 bowl game.


Alec Trevelyan's Group of 5 B1G 10

#1: East Carolina - American Athletic - #32

#2: Marshall - Conference USA - #35 (+3)

#3 (+1): Cincinnati - American Athletic - #53 (-7)

#4 (+1): Central Florida - American Athletic - #56 (-1)

#5 (-2): Boise State - Mountain West - #56 (-16)

#6: Northern Illinois - Mid American - #57

#7 (+2): Colorado State - Mountain West - #57 (+13)

#8 (+2): Nevada - Mountain West - #61 (+11)

#9 (+3): Toledo - Mid American - #70 (+3)

#10: Western Kentucky - Conference USA - #74

#11 (-4): Houston - American Athletic - #75 (-7)

T#12 (+1): Memphis - American Athletic - #75 (-1)

T#12: Temple - American Athletic - #75

#14 Utah State - Mountain West - #76

New to the Poll: Western Kentucky, Temple

Dropped Out: UTSA, Bowling Green


Alec Trevelyan's Group of 5 Bottom XII

#51: New Mexico - Mountain West - #123

#52 (-1):Kent State - Mid American - #129

#53 (+1): Troy - Sun Belt - #132 (-1)

T#54 (-1): New Mexico State - Sun Belt - #132 (-2)

T#54 (-2): Appalachian State - Sun Belt - #132 (-3)

#56: Miami - Mid American - #134

#57: Massachusetts - Mid American - #135 (+2)

#58 (+1): Georgia State - Sun Belt - #138 (+2)

#59 (-1): Idaho - Sun Belt - #141 (-3)

#60: Eastern Michigan - Mid American - #141 (+1)

Dropped Into the Bottom: New Mexico

Started from the bottom now they out: Florida International


The Rankings

CBSsports.com - USA Today - Billingsley + MOV - Football Outsiders (F+) - Massey - Sagarin - Colley - Wolfe

UB's Rank

CBS Sports 98 USA Today 100 Billingsley + MOV 110
Football Outsiders F+ 105 Massey (FBS+FCS) 123 Sagarin (FBS+FCS) 127
Colley 98 Wolfe 109 Wolfe 109


Average UB Rank: 109 (+1)


UB's Schedule:

Average MAC Rank: 104 (+2)
Average Opponent Rank: 120 (+2)

Average Opponent Faced: 133
Average Opponent Yet to be Played: 110 (+6)


The Road to a Bowl: 3 more wins is eligible, 4 more wins for safety

Winnable games (teams ranked below or within 20 of UB):
9 (Duquesne, Army, Norfolk, Miami, EMU, CMU, Ohio, Kent, UMass)
Winnable games record: 3-1 (.750)
Winnable games remaining: 5


MAC Standings:

MAC Rank Division Rank Team National Rank
#1 West #1 N. Illinois #57
#2 West #2 Toledo #70 (+3)
#3 (-1) East #1 BGSU #77 (-4)
#4 (+6) East #2 Akron #83 (+22)
#5 (+1) East #3 (-1) Ohio #99 (+6)
#6 (-2) West #3 Ball State #103 (-1)
#7 (-3) West #4 Central Mich #107 (-5)
#8 East #4 Buffalo #109 (+1)
#9 West #5 Western Mich #114 (-3)
#10 East #5 Kent #129
#11 East #6 Miami #134
#12 East #7 UMass #135 (+2)
#13 West #6 Eastern Mich. #141 (+1)

UB's NEW YORK Rank: #2

NY Rank Team National Rank
#1 Syracuse 58
#2 NY Bulls 109 (+1)
#3 (-1) Army 116 (-6)
#4 Fordham 145 (+8)
#5 Albany 176
#6 (+1) Colgate 194 (+10)
#7 (-1) Stony Brook 196 (-2)
#8 Wagner 216 (+6)
#9 Cornell 222 (+1)
#10 Columbia 241 (-2)
#11 Marist 245 (+1)