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Buffalo's road to the College Football Playoff - Preseason

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

The Road to the College Football Playoff looks at UB's national profile, and how far they need to go to gain the Group of 5 spot into a top bowl game, and how far they need to climb to gain an unprecidented spot in the college football playoff:

UB's Rank

SB Nation Bill C 108 Orlando Sentinel 82 Billingsley + MOV 99
CBS Sports 97 USA Today Myerberg 93 Sagarin 105
ESPN FPI 119 Massey 111

Average UB Rank: 102

UB's College Football Playoff Magic Number:

98

Based on average rank, UB would need to pass 98 teams to enter the college football playoff.

UB's Group of 5 Magic Number:

36

Based on average rank, UB is 37th of 61 group of 5 teams, thus UB would have to leap 36 to earn the G5 auto-bid to a top 6 bowl game.

The Top 10

#1: Ohio State - Big 10

#2 Alabama - SEC

#3 TCU - Big 12

#4 Baylor - Big 12

#5 Oregon - PAC 12

#6 - Georgia - SEC

#7 Michigan State - Big 10

#8 Auburn - SEC

#9 Ole Miss - SEC

#10 Florida State - ACC

The G5 Top 15:

#1: Boise State - Mountain West - #23

#2: Cincinnati - American Athletic - #42

#3: Marshall - Conference USA - #44

#4: Western Kentucky - Conference USA - #51

#5: Utah State - Mountain West - #52

#6: Memphis - America Athletics - #54

#7: Louisiana Tech - Conference USA - #55

#8: Toledo - Mid American - #57

#9: UCF - American Athletic - #58

#10: Navy - American Athletic - #59

#11: Northern Illinois - Mid American - #61

#12: Georgia Southern - Sun Belt - #62

#13: San Diego State - Mountain West - #64

#14: Colorado State - Mountain West - #66

#15: Houston - American Athletic - #68

New to the Poll:

Dropped Out:

The Bottom 10

#119: Kent State - MAC

#120: Army

#121: UTSA - Conference USA

#122: Miami (OH) - MAC

#123: New Mexico State - Sun Belt

#124: UNLV - Mountain West

#125: EMU - MAC

#126: Idaho - Sun Belt

#127: Georgia State - Sun Belt

#128: Charlotte - Conference USA

Dropped Into the Bottom:

Started from the bottom now they out:

UB's Schedule:

Average MAC Rank: 95
Average FBS Opponent Rank: 93
Average Opponent Faced:
Average Opponent Yet to be Played: 93

The Road to Bowl Eligibility: 9 Winnable Games (teams ranked below or within 20 of UB)

UB Ranked better: (Albany, FAU, CMU, Miami, Kent, UMass)
UB Ranked below but close: (Nevada, Ohio, Akron, 
UB Ranked below not close (Penn State, BGSU, NIU)

Schedule Projection:

Albany W 1-0
Penn St L 1-1
FAU W 2-1
Nevada W 3-1
BGSU L 3-2 (0-1)
CMU W 4-2 (1-1)
Ohio W 5-2 (2-1)
Miami W 6-2 (3-1)
Kent St W 7-2 (4-1)
NIU L 7-3 (4-2)
Akron L 7-4 (4-3)
UMass W 8-4 (5-3)

MAC Standings:

MAC Rank Division Rank Team National Rank
#1 West #1 Toledo #57
#2 West #2 N. Illinois #61
#3 West #3 Western Mich #73
#4 East #1 Bowling Green #80
#5 West #4 Ball State #86
#6 East #2 Ohio #91
#7 East #3 Akron #100
#8 East #4 Buffalo #102
#9 East #5 UMass #109
#10 West #5 Central Mich #111
#11 East #6 Kent #119
#12 East #7 Miami #122
#13 West #6 Eastern Mich. #125

UB's path to Detroit:

Go undefeated in the MAC