Current MAC Men's Soccer Standings and Seeding possibilities

With only three games left in the Men's season, there's a manageable 27 possible results to filter down to the four-team MAC Tournament. The good news is Buffalo is in no matter what, and there's really no bad news, as UB was only in danger of falling to the fourth seed in a few scenarios all dependent on a WMU loss tonight, which didn't happen.

First, the current standings:

Some notes:

For the time being, WMU is ahead of Buffalo by virtue of a better result against the top seed (Akron; Draw vs Loss). That tiebreaker would remain unchanged if the two teams draw next Saturday.

Bowling Green is ahead of West Virginia on the basis of a head-to-head win.

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I'll save the table of possibilities for the end. You can't miss it.

Possible seed ranges:

Akron: 1-2 [#1 in 24/27 scenarios]
Western Michigan: 1-3 [#2 in 15/27, #3 in 9/27]
Buffalo: 2-3 [#2 in 9/27]
Northern Illinois: 4 [15/27]
Bowling Green: 4 [6/27]
West Virginia: 4 [6/27]

Relevant tiebreakers:

Akron-WVU (Akron L, WVU W): WMU, by better result against Bowling Green
Akron-UB (Akron L, UB W): Akron, by head-to-head result
WMU-UB (Draw): WMU, by better result against Akron
WMU-NIU (WMU L, NIU W): WMU, by head-to-head result
UB-NIU (UB L, NIU W): Likely UB by either goals-for or goalsagainst advantage
NIU-BG (NIU L, BG D): moot, WVU would take #4
BG-WVU (same result from each): Both lose or draw; NIU gets #4. Both win; BG by head-to-head result.

Buffalo gets #2 if: Buffalo wins
Buffalo draws Akron in the semifinal if: Buffalo and Akron lose
NIU is #4 if: NIU wins, or NIU draws and Akron wins
BG is #4 if: WVU wins and BG wins
WVU is #4 if: WVU wins and Akron wins