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It was another close week for our Buffalo Bulls as they snatched a road win from Kent State in the fourth quarter. UB is now only a single win away from being bowl eligible for just the third time since its Division-I return (*Gives slight jab to UB Rewards App*). This week we take on the Northern Illinois Huskies. This team is already bowl eligible but they still have a shot at winning the MAC West. It'll be no easy task for UB to win this game as they just took down #24 Toledo.
General Sim Results:
It is literally anyone's game. So many of these games were decided late in the fourth quarter and that's good news for us considering we were able to stay with them to that point. UB won more games but that doesn't mean much when the average score is the same and the chances of blowout by either team are the same. Expect this game to go either way
Just like last week there were problems this time around. I can't give you individual player stats because the site was unable to generate them (and thus, I can't really hash out any keys to win the game). Instead, I'm going to give you some food for thought.
Selected Team Rankings
Below we have the sim rankings of every MAC team and FBS team that we have faced. Included is their data on offensive efficiency and defensive efficiency. Let's just say that this sim doesn't think too highly of us (Nor should they have a reason to).
Rank | Team | Adjusted Offensive Efficiency | Adjusted Defensive Efficiency | SOS |
16 | Penn State | 107.5 | 84 | 0.595 |
53 | Northern Illinois | 98.7 | 93.5 | 0.251 |
56 | Bowling Green | 113.6 | 109.8 | 0.239 |
65 | Western Michigan | 115.9 | 116 | 0.248 |
67 | Toledo | 104.4 | 105.5 | 0.272 |
90 | Massachusetts | 98.5 | 110.8 | 0.282 |
91 | Central Michigan | 93.6 | 106 | 0.143 |
99 | Nevada | 87.5 | 103.9 | 0.191 |
104 | Miami (Ohio) | 86.7 | 104.4 | 0.249 |
105 | Florida Atlantic | 85.3 | 103.8 | 0.13 |
106 | Eastern Michigan | 99.1 | 121.2 | 0.26 |
113 | Ball State | 86.9 | 111.9 | 0.38 |
115 | Buffalo | 83.4 | 108.8 | 0.138 |
120 | Kent State | 75.3 | 100.5 | 0.161 |
124 | Ohio | 86.7 | 123 | 0.088 |
128 | Akron | 64.9 | 106.7 | 0.083 |
Projections Around The MAC
Toledo 19 - Central Michigan 28
Kent State 12 - Ohio 24
Bowling Green 31 - Western Michigan 32
Akron 11 - Miami (Not FL) 25
UMass 25 - Eastern Michigan 25