UB is a 11.5 point favorite for homecoming weekend in Amherst. Great to have excitement and expectations for a win for all who are coming back. My initial inclination was way too high of a spread. This game I believe will be much closer. Heading into this past weekend my thoughts are Akron is closer to UB than the spread suggests. Then Miami-Ohio happened.
Unique year as Akron’s first game against Nebraska had to be cancelled. Akron beat up Morgan State and a big win over Northwestern. Akron coming to Buffalo with two straight losses. Tough loss and was up against Iowa State but unexpectedly a 41-17 loss to Miami-Ohio this past weekend. Thus the big point spread.
Akron key offensive leaders are QB Kato Nelson has thrown for 865 yards, 7 touchdowns and 5 picks and completing 54.7% . Running the ball is Van Edwards Jr. with 189 rushing yards and Andre Williams receiving corps with 16 catches for 242 yards and 3 touchdowns so far. With Nate Stewart and Kwadarrius Smith snagging 12 balls this season. Jonah Morris gaining 182 receiving yards. Akron averages 326.8 yards of total offense and 27.5 points per game this season.
Buffalo enters this game with better numbers at almost every category. Bulls averaging 34.67 points per game to Zips 27.50. Passing is Bulls 223.67 but just behind is Zips at 217.50. Rushing is Bulls 177 to 109.25. Time of possession is within a minute at 30:04 to 29:04 and numbers of plays 67.67 to 64. Yards per play is 5.92 to Zips 5.11
I would love to see UB jump up big and not look back. Bulls have a tendency this season to have games they are dominating to be much closer than they appear or need to be. My BRuWPEG pick is UB 37 (we are kicking field goals again) and the Zips with 17. Although I have big nerves. More nervous than CMU.