UB's Road to the College Football Playoff

UB's Rank: 92

Billingsley + MOV	94		CBS Sports	91		ESPN FPI	98
Massey	91		USA Today Myerberg	94		Sagarin	94
Football Study Hall	91		Colley	82		Wolfe	85
Anderson	90

UB's College Football Playoff Magic Number:

88

UB would need to pass 88 teams to enter the college football playoff.

UB's Group of 5 Magic Number:

29

UB is 30th of 61 group of 5 teams, thus UB would have to leap 29 teams to earn the G5 auto-bid to a top 6 bowl game.

Aggregate Top 10

#1: Clemson - ACC - Average rank: 3

#2: Ohio State - Big 10 - Average rank: 4.2

#3: LSU - SEC - Average rank: 4.9

#4: Alabama - SEC - Average rank: 5.8

#4: TCU - Big 12 - Average rank: 5.8

#6: Baylor - Big 12 - Average rank: 6.5

#7: Notre Dame - Average rank: 8

#8: Stanford - Pac 12 - Average rank: 10.6

#9: Michigan St - Big 10 - Average rank: 10.7

#10: Oklahoma - Big 12 - Average rank: 11.2

The G5 Top 15:

#1: Memphis - American Athletic - #17

#2: Houston - American Athletic - #22

#3: Toledo - Mid American - #23

#4: Temple - American Athletic - #26

#5: Boise State - Mountain West - #35

#6: Navy - American Athletic - #38

#7: Western Kentucky - Conference USA - #40

#8: Appalachian State - Sun Belt - #42

#9: Bowling Green - Mid American - #44

#10: Louisiana Tech - Conference USA - #54

#11: Cincinnati - American Athletic - #55

#12: Marshall - Conference USA - #56

#13: Utah State - Mountain West - #57

#14: Georgia Southern - Sun Belt - #59

The Bottom 10

#119: UTEP - Conference USA

#120: Kansas - Big 12

#121: UL Monroe - Sun Belt

#122: Wyoming - Mountain West

#123: Eastern Michigan - Mid American

#124: UCF - American Athletic

#125: Charlotte - Conference USA

#126: Miami (OH) - Mid American

#127: N. Texas - Conference USA

#128: New Mexico State - Sun Belt

UB's Schedule:

The Road to Bowl Eligibility: PROBABLE: 2 Wins needed. 3 winnable games remaining (teams ranked below or within 20 of UB)
UB Ranked better: (Albany, FAU, Nevada, Miami, Kent, UMass)
UB Ranked better record: 3-1
UB Ranked below but close: (CMU, Ohio, Akron)
UB Ranked below but close record: 1-1
UB Ranked below not close (Penn State, BGSU, NIU)
UB Ranked below not close record: 0-2

Schedule Projection: 6-6 (4-4)

MAC Standings:

MAC Rank	Division Rank	Team	National Rank
#1	West #1	Toledo	#23
#2	East  #1	BGSU	#44
#3	West #2	Western Mich	#65
#4	West #3	NIU	#70
#5	West #4	Central Mich	#73
#6	East #2	Ohio	#81
#7	East #3	Akron	#91
#8	East #4	Buffalo	#92
#9	East #5	Kent St	#101
#10	West #5	Ball St	#107
#11	East #6	UMass	#108
#12	West #6	Eastern Mich	#123
#13	East #7	Miami	#126

UB's path to Detroit:

Scenario 1

UB has a small chance of winning a three-way tiebreaker with BGSU and Ohio

If

1) UB wins out

2) BGSU loses to Ohio and 1 other MAC team

3) Ohio wins out

Each team will be 6-2 in conference. It will fall to the cumulative conference win% of MAC West opponents which as of today looks like:

UB: CMU & NIU (7-2) 77.7%
BGSU: WMU, TOL, BSU (10-3) 76.9%
Ohio: WMU, BSU, NIU (9-4) 69.2%

UB would go to Detroit

Scenario 2

UB wins out, BGSU loses 3 of their final 4. No matter what anyone else does, we'd win the head-to-head tiebreaker and UB would be headed to Detroit.