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After the first round of rooting against teams to back into a bowl game, I found out two things.
1) Many in UB nation are afraid to hope
2) Many in UB nation don't know the updated bowl rules.
Let's go over this again.
It ain’t over till ESPN gives you a "X" pic.twitter.com/fG9drSRHFE
— Bull Run (@UBBullRun) November 16, 2014
IF there are not enough eligible teams for the bowl spots, then slots are opened up to quasi-eligible teams, I call these teams "grey-eligible"
First preference will be given to a 6-6 team that defeated two FCS teams. Right now Buffalo is the only eligible team in that category. Thus, if there is an open spot, UB should get it.
So we need three things to keep bowl hopes alive.
1) Beat Kent
2) Beat UMass
3) Hope there is an unfilled bowl spot when the season ends.
There will be 76 bowl teams in 2014.
Bowl Eligible
| Week 11 | Week 12 | Week 13 | Week 14 | Week 15 | Week 16 |
| 51 | 60 | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? |
Teams in the Hunt Actual and Projection (including UB)
| Week 11 | Week 12 | Week 13 | Week 14 | Week 15 | Week 16 |
| 42 | 32 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Spots remaining: Actual and Projection
| Week 11 | Week 12 | Week 13 | Week 14 | Week 15 | Week 16 |
| 25 | 16 | 7 | -2 | -3 | -3 |
A few games didn't break UB's way, but a new week is a new opportunity. 30 teams are fighting for 14 bowl spots, and UB hopes 17 of those 30 teams to fail to reach bowl eligibility.
I project there will be 79 bowl eligible teams, which means UB would not go bowling, so Buffalo needs a few games to break their way in the next few weeks.
The best case scenario after week 13 is for 9 teams to eliminate themselves from bowl consideration with only 2 teams becoming bowl eligible. In the best case scenario, we'd go into the final full week of the college football season with 21 teams in the hunt for the final 14 bowl spots.
Your week 13 UB Bowl Hail Mary rooting guide:
| Winning Team | Losing Team | Reason | Result |
| Umass | Akron | Akron attains eligibility with a win over Kent, a loss an they stay home | Akron over Umass |
| NIU | Ohio | Ohio attains eligiblity with a win over Miami, a loss and they stay home | NIU over Ohio |
| Buffalo | Kent | Buffalo must win out | Cancelled Thanks Mid-Ohio Athletic Conference |
| Duke | UNC | Puts UNC 1 game away from elimination | UNC over Duke, UNC eligible |
| Arkansas St | Texas St | Puts Texas St 1 game away from elimination | Texas State over Ark st, Texas St eligible |
| Air Force | SDSU | Puts SDSU 1 game away from elimination | |
| Washington | Oregon St | Assuming OSU loses to Oregon | |
| Cal | Stanford | Assuming Stanford loses to UCLA | |
| Maryland | Michigan | Puts Michigan 1 game away from elimination | |
| Penn State | Illinois | Eliminates Illinois | |
| Purdue | Northwestern | Eliminates Northwestern | |
| Marshall | UAB | Puts UAB 1 game away from elimination | |
| UTSA | WKU | Puts WKU 1 game away from elimination | |
| EKU | Florida | Prevents Florida from gaining eligibility | |
| South Alabama | South Carolina | Puts USC 1 game away from elimination | |
| Wake | Va Tech | Puts Va Tech 1 game away from elimination | |
| La Tech | ODU | eliminates ODU | |
| Tulsa | Houston | Prevents Houston from gaining eligibility | |
| Ole Miss | Arkansas | Puts Arkansas one game away from elimination | |
| Syracuse | Pittsburgh | eliminates Pitt | |
| Memphis | USF | eliminates USF | |
| Miami | UVA | eliminates Virginia | |
| FAU | Midd Tenn | Puts MTSU one game away from elimination | |
| Baylor | Oklahoma State | puts Oklahoma State one game away from elimination | |
| Missouri | Tennessee | puts Tennessee one game away from elimination | |
| Boise St | Wyoming | Eliminates Wyoming | |
| Nevada | Fresno St | eliminates Fresno |