I decided to sit down and see what the KenPom game probabilities and MAC tiebreakers would look like.. Here there are, the 32 different possible outcomes of this weeks remaining games. They are sorted by probability and then the seeding implications for one through nine are applied:
Summary:
- The Bulls have a 3.92% Chance of getting the 5 seed by are most likely going to get the 6 seed (41.89% Chance)
- There are 8 ways UB has to go on the road and 24 where they get to host. The team they are most likely to host is Bowling Green.
Tables (Wide Tables) after the Jump
UB - BGSU | Mia-Ohio | Kent-Akron | WMU-CMU | BSU-NIU | Ken Pom | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UB | Mia | Kent | CMU | BSU | 7.99% | Kent | BSU | Miami | WMU | OU | UB | Akron | CMU | BGSU |
UB | Mia | Kent | CMU | NIU | 1.41% | Kent | WMU | Miami | OU | UB | Akron | BSU | CMU | BGSU |
UB | OU | Kent | CMU | BSU | 7.09% | Kent | BSU | Miami | OU | WMU | Akron | UB | CMU | BGSU |
UB | OU | Kent | CMU | NIU | 1.25% | Kent | WMU | Miami | OU | Akron | BSU | UB | CMU | BGSU |
UB | OU | Akron | CMU | NIU | 0.70% | Kent | WMU | Akron | OU | Miami | BSU | UB | CMU | BGSU |
UB | Mia | Akron | CMU | NIU | 0.79% | Mia | WMU | Kent | Akron | OU | BSU | UB | CMU | BGSU |
UB | OU | Akron | CMU | BSU | 3.99% | Kent | BSU | WMU | OU | Akron | Miami | UB | CMU | BGSU |
UB | Mia | Akron | CMU | BSU | 4.50% | Miami | BSU | Kent | Akron | WMU | OU | UB | CMU | BGSU |
UB | OU | Kent | WMU | BSU | 12.60% | Kent | WMU | Miami | BSU | OU | UB | Akron | BGSU | CMU |
UB | Mia | Kent | WMU | BSU | 14.21% | Kent | WMU | Miami | BSU | OU | UB | Akron | BGSU | CMU |
UB | Mia | Kent | WMU | NIU | 2.51% | Kent | WMU | Miami | OU | UB | Akron | BSU | BGSU | CMU |
UB | OU | Kent | WMU | NIU | 2.22% | Kent | WMU | Miami | OU | Akron | BSU | UB | BGSU | CMU |
UB | OU | Akron | WMU | NIU | 1.25% | Kent | WMU | Akron | OU | Miami | BSU | UB | BGSU | CMU |
UB | OU | Akron | WMU | BSU | 7.09% | Kent | WMU | Akron | OU | Miami | BSU | UB | BGSU | CMU |
UB | Mia | Akron | WMU | NIU | 1.41% | Kent | WMU | Miami | Akron | OU | BSU | UB | BGSU | CMU |
UB | Mia | Akron | WMU | BSU | 7.99% | Kent | WMU | Miami | Akron | BSU | OU | UB | BGSU | CMU |
BGSU | OU | Kent | WMU | BSU | 3.76% | Kent | WMU | OU | Miami | BSU | Akron | BGSU | UB | CMU |
BGSU | Mia | Kent | WMU | BSU | 4.24% | Kent | WMU | Miami | BSU | OU | Akron | BGSU | UB | CMU |
BGSU | OU | Akron | WMU | NIU | 0.37% | Kent | WMU | OU | Miami | Akron | BSU | BGSU | UB | CMU |
BGSU | Mia | Akron | WMU | NIU | 0.42% | Kent | WMU | Miami | OU | Akron | BSU | BGSU | UB | CMU |
BGSU | OU | Kent | WMU | NIU | 0.66% | Kent | WMU | Miami | OU | Akron | BSU | BGSU | UB | CMU |
BGSU | Mia | Kent | WMU | NIU | 0.75% | Kent | WMU | Miami | OU | Akron | BSU | BGSU | UB | CMU |
BGSU | OU | Akron | WMU | BSU | 2.12% | Kent | WMU | Akron | OU | Miami | BSU | BGSU | UB | CMU |
BGSU | Mia | Akron | WMU | BSU | 2.39% | Kent | WMU | Miami | Akron | BSU | OU | BGSU | UB | CMU |
BGSU | OU | Kent | CMU | BSU | 2.12% | Kent | BSU | OU | Miami | WMU | Akron | BGSU | CMU | UB |
BGSU | Mia | Kent | CMU | BSU | 2.39% | Kent | BSU | Miami | WMU | OU | Akron | BGSU | CMU | UB |
BGSU | OU | Akron | CMU | NIU | 0.21% | Kent | WMU | OU | Miami | Akron | BSU | BGSU | CMU | UB |
BGSU | Mia | Akron | CMU | NIU | 0.24% | Miami | WMU | Kent | OU | Akron | BSU | BGSU | CMU | UB |
BGSU | OU | Kent | CMU | NIU | 0.37% | Kent | WMU | Miami | OU | Akron | BSU | BGSU | CMU | UB |
BGSU | Mia | Kent | CMU | NIU | 0.42% | Kent | WMU | Miami | OU | Akron | BSU | BGSU | CMU | UB |
BGSU | OU | Akron | CMU | BSU | 1.19% | Kent | BSU | WMU | OU | Akron | Miami | BGSU | CMU | UB |
BGSU | Mia | Akron | CMU | BSU | 1.34% | Miami | BSU | Kent | Akron | WMU | OU | BGSU | CMU | UB |
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kent | 93.13% | 0.00% | 6.87% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
WMU | 0.00% | 69.40% | 5.18% | 12.49% | 12.93% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Miami | 6.87% | 0.00% | 70.33% | 6.46% | 11.16% | 5.18% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BSU | 0.00% | 30.60% | 0.00% | 28.94% | 16.26% | 20.29% | 3.91% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
OU | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.46% | 33.69% | 43.64% | 16.21% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Akron | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.16% | 18.43% | 12.09% | 23.52% | 34.80% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Buffalo | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.92% | 34.80% | 38.28% | 14.72% | 8.28% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BGSU | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 23.00% | 49.28% | 27.72% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CMU | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 36.00% | 64.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NIU | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
EMU | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 100.00% | 0.00% |
Toledo | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 100.00% |