The debate rages on: are we losing due to poor execution or is it the result of poor decisions by a coach in over his head? I decided to break down the UConn tape, to try to prove once and for all which was more responsible for our failure. After 1 Quarter, the passing game is down due to lack of execution, the scheme is good. The overall game strategy is about a push. The run defense is strong. The running game and the pass defense was bad and I think coaching is holding us back.
Although Buffalo led 7-3 after one quarter, I feel our coaches were to blame for the slow start to the game we needed to be up 14-3 after that onside kick.
The Passing Game:
The plan: Quinn saw something that led him to believe he could exploit the middle of the field, often using Neutz as a decoy to create favorable WR on LB match ups.
Why it failed: Execution. This one falls on Zordich, the OLine, and the loss of BO and Lee.
- Underthrew a deep ball to Neutz that allowed the defender to swat the ball away, a well thrown ball is another deep Neutz touchdown.
- Threw behind Johnson on 3rd and 5.
- Overthrew Hughes on 3rd and 4 after recovering the onside kick.
However, the 3rd error shows it is more than just Zordich, Its a full failure in execution by the entire offense.
Zordich overthrows Hughes, who is bumped by the LB but the pass was uncatchable.
1st error: Hughes Route: Notice the matchup Hughes vs LB in space, very favorable on 3rd and 4. The black line shows the line of scrimmage, Hughes is 1 yard past that, by running the route at the line of scrimmage instead of at the first down marker, even if this ball is caught, it will not be a first down. Maybe if Lee was running this route, it would have been at a proper depth.
2nd error: Next, you assume Zordich should lead Hughes, if he hits Hughes in stride, there is no way the LB can catch him. It is a good point. However if you look back at the pocket you see UConn's DT ready to plant Zordich into that big C. You might ask: "if they brought more men then we could block why wasn't Hughes more open?"
3rd error: Because they rushed 4 and we kept 6 in to block. UConn ran a simple stunt, our line did not pick it up, Murie the RB was in to help with blocking but he failed to recognize the stunt and help out his line. The Branden Oliver injury hurts the passing game here, you assume the three season veteran might have recognized the pressure and given Z more time to make a better read and throw.
Passing Game Details:
- 3-7 for 68 yards.
- Throwing left: Zordich was 2-4 averaging 12.75 yards per pass .
- Throwing middle: 1-3 averaging 5.6 yards.
- Neutz was targeted for the first 4 passes then never again in the quarter.
- Targeting Neutz 2-4 (with a drop) for 38 yards
- Targeting Johnson 0-1
- Targeting Campbell 1-1 for 30 yards
- Targeting Hughes 0-1
- 1st Down passes 0-1
- 2nd Down passes 1-2 for 21 yards
- 3rd down passes 1-3 for 17 yards
- 4th down passes 1-1 for 30 yards
- 8 runs for 19 yards: Murie 5 for 8 yards & 1 TD, Zordich 2 for 6 yards, Campbell 1 for 5 yards.
- 4 runs on 1st down
- 3 on 2nd down
- 1 on 3rd down (3rd and 9.)
- Ran 4 Read options averaging 2.25 yards
- Ran 3 power plays averaging 2 yards
- Ran 1 trap averaging 4 yards.
- Ran up the middle 5 times averaging 2.6 yards,
- Ran left twice averaging 0.5 yards
- Ran right once averaging 5 yards.
On our first drive we ran on 3rd and 9, showing a lack of urgency.
On the final drive of the quarter we failed to do anything to jump on UConn, a 14-3 lead might have really taken UConn out of their game. Why go onside kick, just to run two read options into the heart of the defense?
- Three drives
- 16 plays
- 8 runs, 7 passes, 1 QB Scramble
- 2 3-and-outs
- 1 Touchdown
- 3rd down conversions: 1/4
- Average 3rd down: 3rd and 6
- Negative plays: 0 Turnovers, 0 sacks, 1 penalty
- Onside Kick Recovered
Pass #1: 2nd and 8, play action pass for 9 yards and a first down. Three defenders are seen covering nothing, in front of a wide open receiver.
Our 3 defenders are in no position to stop the 4 yard catch or the 5 yard run after the catch. You can blame execution, bad zone drops etc, but if we cannot execute the zone, we should not run the zone. Part of coaching is knowing your teams limitations and putting the players in situations that mask their limitations and enhance their strengths. Throughout this 1st quarter, we did the opposite, we put our aggressive sack seeking defense into prevent mode, in the first quarter! This comes ten days after Dri Archer found nothing but room in the secondary, we continued to ignore the problem and play a zone based defense with more holes than swiss cheese.
Pass #5: 3rd and 12, deep out to the left, receiver beats Cortney Lester for 18 yards and a first down.
Watching live Lester looks bad, another case of the weak UB secondary. Re-watching however, it was actually Delonte Wallace that made the costly error. We played cover 4 zone, Wallace covering underneath, Lester over top. There are only 4 receivers on the play so ideally every receiver should be double covered underneath and overtop. However Wallace makes a mistake and inexplicably sprints towards the center of the field abandoning his zone underneath the outside receiver giving UConn a huge window to make the throw.
Despite Wallace's lack of execution, I blame the coaches for this conversion. UConn kept 7 men in to block, that's how worried they were about our pass rush. Did we send 6 and see if Mack, Means and Way could make a play? No, we rushed 3 guys. No amount of double coverage can make up for having to cover wide receivers for 5+ seconds. Rushing 3 on 7 meant we would have never put any pressure on the QB and eventually someone would have found open space in the zone.
Johnson instantly drops back 9 yards in man-to-man coverage. This means he gave the receiver 16 yards of space on 2nd and 6. UConn is not a deep threat team. The scene above shows Johnson at the right five yard behind the receiver as he makes the catch. This is the answer to the "why does every Receiver seem wide open" question. Playing defense with so much cushion allows the offense to play catch, its way too easy.
It's blurry but from left to right you see 2 Bulls, looks to be Willie Moseley and Khalil Mack completely enveloped by UConn's OL. Then there is Colby Way spying the QB a the 42, Means is the Bull at the 44 at the bottom right of the screen also spying the QB. For good measure there is a 3rd Bull in the area. Not pictured: ANY UCONN Receivers.
Due to our play call, Chandler Whitmer had 4.1 seconds in the pocket. He pumped twice, went through his progression then dumped it off. After poor tackling by the secondary, who were understandably tired from 5 seconds of good coverage, Means chased the receiver down and saved a touchdown but not before an 18-yard gain.
- 5-7 for 82 yards.
- 1 pass knocked down.
- No passes on 1st down
- 3-4 on 2nd down for 46 yards
- 2-3 on 3rd down for 36 yards
- Play action passes 1-3, 9 yards
- Non Play action passes 4-4 73 yards
- 10 runs for 31 yards
- 8 runs on 1st down for 23 yards
- 2 runs on 2nd down for 8 yards
- Ran 2 Draws averaging 4 yards
- Ran 1 pitch averaging 5 yards
- Ran 2 counters averaging 2.5 yards
- Ran 4 powers averaging 4.26
- Ran up the middle 2 times averaging 2.5 yards,
- Ran left 7 times averaging 3.3 yards
- Ran right once averaging 3 yards.
- Two Drives
- 17 plays
- 10 runs, 7 passes
- 1 Field Goal
- 3rd down conversions allowed: 2/3
- Average 3rd down: 3rd and 8
- Positive plays: 0 Takeaways, 0 sacks
- Penalties: None
Overall, while our execution is poor, our coaching fails to take advantage of our players strengths and continues to leave our weaker players on an island. The numbers are misleading. We are 120th in passing completion percentage. Which is ok because we are 34th in running. We only need to pass to keep other teams honest, so we can continue to batter them with the run.
We seem to be respectable at 59th nationally allowing 58% of passes to be competed. However, this is misleading: we've only allowed 56 pass completions (7th lowest in the nation) however, 37 of those completions were for first downs. 66% of the passes we allow go for first downs! We can't win that way. Based on the first quarter, we won't go anywhere until we fix our defensive passing scheme.